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Who could replace Mike Johnson as speaker?

Benjamin Davis

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Earlier today Marjorie Taylor Greene launched a motion to vacate against Speaker of the House Mike Johnson. The issue arose due to differences of opinion in the party over recent spending packages, which some on the right have criticized as giving up too much to Democrats.

However if Greene’s motion is a success, and the GOP has to pick a 3rd speaker in under two years, who is the logical option to select? The House is running out of senior leaders, but let’s go down the list and take a look at who could be the next speaker of the house.

Steve Scalise (R-LA)

Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Scalise currently serves as the Majority Leader of the Republican caucus, which would make him a logical choice to move into the top job is Johnson gets vacated. However he has been passed over for the job before, and failed to secure enough votes for his bid in the last round of internal speakership elections. He would come into the race with in-built credibility, but it is unclear if he would be able to wrangle enough votes out of the caucus.

Tom Emmer (R-MN)

Tony Webster from United States, CC BY 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Tom Emmer is another likely candidate to run for Speaker again, although his last bid was halted by opposition from Former President Donald Trump. He would also have in-built credibility, as he currently serves as GOP Whip, although just like Scalise he would have a hard time getting enough votes from members of his party.

Byron Donalds (R-FL)

Representative Donalds ran the last time around. As a Freedom Caucus member it is unlikely that he would be able to get enough votes from more moderate members of his party to secure the nomination. He has been strongly supported by Donald Trump in the past, and it is possible that he would earn his endorsement for the speakership.

Wildcard Candidate: Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY)

The GOP caucus has been losing members quickly, and with Mike Gallagher’s departure the House GOP will only have a majority by one vote. If a few more House Republicans leave, the Democrats could have the votes to make Jeffries the speaker ahead of the 2024 election.

There is also the possibility of one or two House GOP members floating across the aisle and voting for Jeffries in exchange for some personal carveout, although that is unlikely. Although this is definitely an unlikely scenario overall, it is possible and would be very interesting to see happen.

Whoever gets the top job as Speaker of the House, they will have a hard road ahead of them. With the House GOP more divided than ever, and an important election coming up in 2024, whoever gets the nod will be forced to make some tough calls in the few months ahead of November.

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Congress

Senate to vote on standalone border bill

Jacob Wilson

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Senate Democrats, CC BY 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

In a move that surprised outsiders, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer announced his intention to bring a standalone border security bill to the floor. The bill, which was originally crafted by Senators Chris Murphy (D-CT), Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ), and James Lankford (R-OK), has already been rejected numerous times by members of both parties.

The Majority Leader sent a letter to the rest of his colleagues in the Senate, criticizing the House for killing the bill when it was originally brought up. He also criticized Republican senators for flip flopping on the bill after comments by Former President Trump.

Even one of the authors of the bill, Senator James Lankford (R-OK,) now expresses his displeasure with the bill. In an interview earlier this week with conservative TV network NewsMax, Lankford complained that there were no serious attempts to try to solve the issues at the border. “this is a crisis of Biden’s own creation … and now they are trying to figure how to manage his own mistakes.”

It appears that Schumer intends to reorient some of the anger that has previously been directed at Democrats for not doing enough on the border. Republicans who are seen voting against the bill could have it used against them in the general election. However the bill will also force many Democrats to go on the record about border security, which many have been uncomfortable discussing in the past.

Schumer elaborated on this point, saying that he did not expect all Democrats to support the bill. However he still urged its passing in a bipartisan manner. While not in the letter, the political strategy behind this move could be to redirect some of the pressure onto Speaker of the House Mike Johnson. The bill could pass the House in a similar manner, however Johnson has rejected it in the past due to opposition from Former President Donald Trump.

Border security and immigration are expected to be hot topics in the 2024 election, and have already made up a large section of political ads as the 2024 cycle continues to heat up. Both Democrats and Republicans are trying to paint the others as weak on the issue of border security, with Democrats blaming Republicans for inaction, and Republicans blaming Democrats (and specifically President Biden) for failing to act through executive action.

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Congress

TikTok Ban Passed

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A $95 billion dollar foreign aid package was recently passed by the House of Representatives. The legislation emphasizes increased monetary support to Ukraine and Israel, as well as a ban on the popular social media app TikTok. 

Since the inception of the app, government officials have expressed concerns that the platform poses a threat to national security. TikTok is run by ByteDance, a Chinese company that legislators believe may be involved with the Communist Party. In spite of TikTok CEO Shou Chew’s repeated assertions that ByteDance is privately owned, U.S. legislators continue to levy charges of malign foreign interference against the company.

According to Republican Senator Marco Rubio, for example, ByteDance, and every other company in China, “is controlled by the Chinese Communist Party.” TikTok, Rubio says, is dangerous because of its advanced algorithm, which “uses the data of Americans to basically read your mind and predict what videos you want to see.” 

The recently passed bill serves to force a sale of the platform to a Western developer. If the sale does not occur within a year of the proposal being passed into law, the U.S. will enforce a nationwide ban on the app. The ban would begin with the platform’s removal from app stores. Eventually, the technology would become unavailable for updates on American mobile devices, rendering the service defunct.

President Joe Biden has stated that he intends to sign the bill. With more than 170 million users in the United States alone, the President’s resolve to pass the measure into law has been the object of much contention. Many users feel that the ban infringes upon their First Amendment rights. Others fear that the TikTok ban will leave influencers without a source of primary income, and severely impact the 7 million small businesses that depend on the platform to promote development.

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Congress

Marjorie Taylor Greene launches motion against Speaker Johnson

Jonathan Miller

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Early on Friday morning, Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) filed a motion to vacate against Speaker of the House Mike Johnson. This move comes as tensions rise between moderates and far-right members of the Republican party following controversy over a spending package.

Representative Greene has described the package as a “trillion dollar Democrat wish list” on X, and has reinforced that she believes that a majority of Republican voters are opposed to the bill. And this is only the final straw following a number of controversial spending bills on the right.

If this motion to vacate succeeds, it would again leave the House of Representatives without a Speaker for the foreseeable future, and the GOP caucus would need to find another option.

However Marjorie Taylor Greene and her allies have stated that they believe it is a worthy sacrifice to get rid of a speaker who is willing to pass “Chuck Schumer’s bill.”

Earlier today she appeared on Steve Bannon’s War Room and said that she is making a decision on a motion to vacate on a “minute by minute basis today”. And inside sources are now making it clear that the motion to vacate has indeed been officially launched, although it is unclear if they will be able to get the level of support that they need to finalize the removal of Mike Johnson.

This is an evolving story, check back on The Youth Insight later on in the day for updates on Mike Johnson’s status as Speaker of the House.


Image Credits: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

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