International
China launches “punishment” drills surrounding Taiwan
China has begun two days of what they describe as “strong punishment” drills, codenamed Joint Sword-2024A. The drills come three days after the inauguration of new Taiwanese President William Lai (Lai Ching-te).
China views Taiwan as a breakaway territory that they have claim to. However the government in Taiwan strongly believes in their own sovereignty, and has called the drills “irrational provocations.”
The exercise consists of the Air Force, Navy, Army, and Rocket Force, and is being organized by the People’s Liberation Army Eastern Theater Command.
China regularly uses these sorts of military drills to ‘punish’ the Taiwanese government for select political events they deem as dangerous. For example, the last two major drills took place following visits by the United States Speaker of the House.
The structure of the drills involves encircling Taiwan, causing consternation amongst analysts who believe that China could be practicing how to cut off the island from external support in the case of a conflict.
These drills also made history as the first to include four Taiwanese islands, Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin. These islands are closer to the Chinese mainland than most of Taiwan, and are therefore under immediate threat in the case of an invasion.
UPDATE: Taiwan has responded by scrambling jets and putting their missile systems and naval units on high alert. The Taiwanese Military has also released a statement condemning China’s actions.
This is a developing story, check back with The Youth Insight for updates.
International
Reform UK passes Conservatives in new poll
The news for Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party keeps getting worse, as a new poll by GB News has revealed that Reform UK may be passing the Conservatives to become the primary opposition to Labour.
The new poll, conducted by People Polling on behalf of the Farage-affiliated GB News, still shows Labour in the lead with 35%. This puts them in line with almost every other poll this cycle, which show Labour winning a large majority in the House of Commons.
However their results diverge from the norm on the right. The poll puts Reform UK at a whopping 24%, 9 points ahead of the Conservatives at 15%. This would be a significantly reversal of previous results, which have put the Conservatives ahead of Reform by at least a few points.
When modelled out across the country by X user “RealAlbanianPat,” the poll would show Reform winning 187 seats, and the Conservatives being absolutely wiped out of the House of Commons.
While even the pollster themselves admit that these results are likely outliers, it still points to a significant shift towards Reform UK across the country. Other polls have showed Reform catching up to the Conservatives, although not to nearly the same extent.
Many MRPs now show Reform picking up a number of seats, and their numbers keep going up. The only questions right now appear to be how high can Reform rise? And how far can the Conservatives fall…
International
French soccer star speaks out against far-right
Kylian Mbappe, captain of the French national soccer team, has ignited a political firestorm with his impassioned plea for the country’s youth to vote against what he considers to be extremist forces in the upcoming parliamentary elections.
Following a devastating defeat in the recent elections for European Parliament, Emmanuel Macron called a snap election for June 30th, which will pit his centrist Ensemble coalition against the fast rising far-right National Rally.
“We are at a crucial moment in the history of our country,” Mbappe said, addressing the media. He emphasized the unique opportunity young people have to shape France’s future. “We see very clearly that the extremes are at the gates of power, and we have the opportunity to choose the future of our country. This is why I call on all young people to go vote and to become aware of the importance of the situation.”
Mbappe’s comments came after his teammate Marcus Thuram urged French citizens to “fight daily” against the rise of the far-right National Rally. Thuram’s strong stance found an ally in Mbappe, who affirmed, “I share the same values as Marcus. For me, he did not go too far, he gave his opinion, and I side with him. I don’t want to represent a country that doesn’t correspond to our values.”
Mbappe’s remarks, however, drew swift criticism from Jordan Bardella, a leader in the National Rally. Speaking on CNews TV, Bardella criticized Mbappe and Thuram for what he perceived as out-of-touch lecturing. “I have a lot of respect for our footballers… but we must respect the French, we must respect everyone’s vote,” Bardella said. He also presented Mbappe and his teammates as millionaires who were out of touch with the needs of working class French citizens.
As France gears up for these pivotal elections, the involvement of high-profile athletes like Mbappe and Thuram highlights the deep societal rifts and the critical choices facing the electorate. Celebrity figures have long been a political tool that can be utilized when parties become desperate, however it is currently unclear how much of an impact they will make.
International
Spain, Ireland, and Norway to officially recognize a Palestinian state
Three European countries have today announced their intention to officially recognize a Palestinian state. Spain, Ireland and Norway will formally declare their recognition on May 28th.
Spain and Ireland will bring the total number of European Union members that recognize Palestine to nine, out of a total 27 member states.
These announcements will likely have little international significance, as neither Ireland nor Spain are major powers. However the recognition does give Palestine some more international recognition, and brings legitimacy to their cause. European leaders say they view the recognition as a step towards peace in the Middle East.
It is important to note that these countries are not recognizing a specific state itself, but rather the concept of a Palestinian state in general. They are not explicitly supporting Hamas, or any other potential government of a state in the region.
The move comes as Israel continues to lose support around the world. Support for Israel has been falling in the United States, and it has fallen faster in many parts of Europe. The Israeli government has spent a lot of goodwill they built up whilst fighting in Gaza, and it is unclear how much longer they can count on international support.